Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 5.982399 6.604300 7.268042 8.030007 8.881619 9.805303 10.884611
2025-12-21 5.019744 5.877763 6.854843 8.053439 9.489028 11.159220 13.258244
2025-12-28 4.429125 5.456779 6.694829 8.304851 10.355839 12.897855 16.312792
2026-01-04 3.949223 5.086259 6.525444 8.496504 11.150155 14.633426 19.608557
2026-01-11 3.517616 4.709456 6.284869 8.543901 11.739641 16.158107 22.833242
2026-01-18 3.130739 4.336801 5.993237 8.467639 12.127338 17.431364 25.867508
2026-01-25 2.801857 4.001012 5.705413 8.347240 12.416003 18.573376 28.845202
2026-02-01 2.525226 3.706349 5.438113 8.214386 12.652390 19.643044 31.837032
2026-02-08 2.289370 3.445268 5.188877 8.072197 12.843013 20.644050 34.835096
2026-02-15 2.107592 3.246988 5.012259 8.018384 13.158479 21.870054 38.374204
2026-02-22 1.997371 3.148859 4.980434 8.191513 13.864734 23.831876 43.506363
2026-03-01 1.860672 2.994330 4.840573 8.163313 14.210565 25.189047 47.693735
2026-03-08 1.705408 2.798303 4.618341 7.976631 14.264527 26.045951 51.097137
2026-03-15 1.591185 2.661660 4.484369 7.932446 14.575136 27.424654 55.784311
2026-03-22 1.527917 2.607261 4.487863 8.139080 15.386443 29.885085 63.176904
2026-03-29 1.463337 2.544578 4.470076 8.302207 16.129683 32.305119 70.904653
2026-04-05 1.386169 2.452379 4.389575 8.334124 16.608148 34.231691 77.836106
2026-04-12 1.301179 2.338695 4.258764 8.251665 16.835683 35.641884 83.777417
2026-04-19 1.219100 2.223945 4.116044 8.129899 16.962851 36.841650 89.407158
2026-04-26 1.143110 2.114981 3.975453 7.998131 17.051402 37.961820 95.033516
2026-05-03 1.072741 2.011675 3.837658 7.858510 17.105208 39.005135 100.646756
2026-05-10 1.017207 1.933539 3.744109 7.805358 17.352094 40.549206 107.939628
2026-05-17 0.987795 1.905458 3.750303 7.972837 18.140593 43.554639 120.023856